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5. Process Improvement
5.6. Case Studies
5.6.3. Catapult Case Study

5.6.3.4.

Estimate Main and Interaction Effects

Effects Estimation Although the effect estimates were given on the dex mean interaction plot on the previous page, they can also be estimated quantitatively.

Fractional factorial designs with 2 levels can be fit using the Yates technique, which is described in Box, Hunter, and Hunter. The Yates technique utilizes the special structure of these designs to simplify the computation and presentation of the fit. Note that the center points are not included in the Yates analysis for estimating the effects.

Dataplot Output Dataplot generated the following output for the Yates analysis.
  
(NOTE--DATA MUST BE IN STANDARD ORDER)
NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS           =       16
NUMBER OF FACTORS                =        4
NO REPLICATION CASE
  
PSEUDO-REPLICATION STAND. DEV.   =    0.23333400726E+02
PSEUDO-DEGREES OF FREEDOM        =        5
(THE PSEUDO-REP. STAND. DEV. ASSUMES ALL
3, 4, 5, ...-TERM INTERACTIONS ARE NOT REAL,
BUT MANIFESTATIONS OF RANDOM ERROR)
  
STANDARD DEVIATION OF A COEF.    =    0.11666700363E+02
(BASED ON PSEUDO-REP. ST. DEV.)
  
GRAND MEAN                       =    0.55296875000E+02
GRAND STANDARD DEVIATION         =    0.37568069458E+02
  
99% CONFIDENCE LIMITS (+-)       =    0.47041816711E+02
95% CONFIDENCE LIMITS (+-)       =    0.29990217209E+02
99.5% POINT OF T DISTRIBUTION    =    0.40321440697E+01
97.5% POINT OF T DISTRIBUTION    =    0.25705826283E+01
  
IDENTIFIER    EFFECT        T VALUE      RESSD:     RESSD:
                                         MEAN +     MEAN +
                                         TERM    CUM TERMS
----------------------------------------------------------
   MEAN      55.29688                  37.56807   37.56807
      4      40.28125          3.5*    32.38174   32.38174
      3      35.90625          3.1*    33.82029   27.06551
      1      26.96875          2.3     36.11603   23.47657
   1234      24.09375          2.1     36.69212   19.75246
      2     -22.15625         -1.9     37.03936   15.25831
     34      15.21875          1.3     38.02627   12.47985
     14       9.40625          0.8     38.56024   11.44448
     13       9.28125          0.8     38.56889   10.02313
     23      -6.34375         -0.5     38.73853    9.50675
    123       6.28125          0.5     38.74143    8.76873
    124       5.65625          0.5     38.76894    8.00750
     12      -5.53125         -0.5     38.77409    6.68584
    134       5.34375          0.5     38.78160    3.15269
     24      -2.21875         -0.2     38.86856    0.43301
    234       0.21875          0.0     38.88647    0.00000
  
Interpretation In fitting 2-level factorial designs, Dataplot takes advantage of the special structure of these designs in computing the fit and printing the results. Specifically, the main effects and interaction effects are printed in sorted order from most significant to least significant. It also prints the t-value for the term and the residual standard deviation obtained by fitting the model with that term and the mean (the column labeled RESSD MEAN + TERM) and for the model with that term, the mean, and all other terms that are more statistically significant (the column labeled RESSD MEAN + CUM TERMS).

For the t distribution with 5 degrees of freedom, the critical values for significance levels of 0.01, 0.05, and 0.10 are 4.032, 2.571, and 2.015 respectively. In this case, no factors are statistically significant at the 0.01 level, factors 4 (Arm Length) and 3 (Number of Bands) are statistically significant at the 0.05 level, and factor 1 (Band Height) and the interaction of factors 1, 2, 3, and 4 are statisically significant at the 0.10 level. The remaining factors (including interaction terms) are not statistically significant even at the 0.10 level.

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